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Dermot O Connor's avatar

Farage's Reform took a fifth seat following a recount (overturning the Labour winner by 100 votes). I don't know what happened, there, but that's REALLY strange; if the gap was 100, did someone bury the needed ballots? I'm used to recounts arguing over a valid paper here and there when the margin is tight, but that's a hell of a lot. Anyway, five reforms.

More importantly, they came second in ~105 seats, about 90% of which are Labour - and many of those Labour MPs have very small majorities - very vulnerable, in other words, to a Reform push in 2029. Given Starmers right wing tendencies, he'll likely do something stupid, like trying to out-Farage Farage, which will only alienate even more party members into waking the F up, and getting out.

I'd also expect Reform to win a few Tory switchers in the next 5 years, and a couple of by-elections, especially if the Tories elect a 'moderate'.

Four or five Gaza candidates won this time (though you'd barely know it from the MSM coverage), and a few came very close to winning by a few hundred votes; a more organised campaign would certainly have taken out the invertebrate Wes Streeting and the Crass has Jess Philips; the Greens four seats were surgical, targeted campaigns at those seats, and they are keyed up as second place challengers a few dozen seats. Muslim voters are fleeing the Zionist Starmer in droves.

Given Labour's pathetic votes and % (both lower than 2019 in England!) they are very vulnerable now to catastrophic collapse come 2029 if they fail, as they surely will. It couldn't happen to a nastier bucket of scabs.

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john webster's avatar

According to Richard Seymore in New Left Review in the UK General Election ....'Labour won 64% of the seats with 34% of the vote, the smallest ever vote share for a party taking office. Turnout, estimated at 59%, was at its lowest since 2001 (and before that, 1885). When a soggy Sunak finally pulled the plug on his flagging, flag-bedraggled government at the end of May, every poll showed Labour with a double-digit lead, at over 40%. Sunak’s litany of unforced errors, as well as the massive funding gap between Labour and the Conservatives and the queue of businessmen and Murdoch newspapers endorsing Labour, ought to have helped keep it that way. Instead, Labour’s total number of votes fell to 9.7 million, down from 10.3 million in 2019.' Nobody trusts Starmer - he leads the UK 'B' team of neo-liberals/conservatives..Another great report Rob

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