Thanks for that Richard. See my comments on your substack. I'm pretty sure that the Russian MoD has employed the term 'killed and wounded' on its website occasionally BTW.
Re: "organisations providing casualty data do not always make it clear whether their figures are for dead and wounded or KIA only. The Russian MoD and Mediazona are both guilty of this. "
Andrei Martyanov makes it clear that when the Russian MoD talks about Ukrainian "losses" in any form, they mean KIA unless explicitly said otherwise. The MoD does not report Ukrainian wounded.
More importantly, they don't report Ukrainian losses from engagements in which there was no "battle damage assessment" post-engagement - which means those over 100 "in addition" air, missile and artillery strikes they always mention separately in their daily "clobber report".
This is important because those strikes HAVE to add at LEAST one more Ukrainian KIA and one more WIA to the daily total - and probably many more. If one Ukrainian artillery unit is destroyed, that's at least four Ukrainians lost (KIA and WIA). If a command post is destroyed, it's probably many more. So those strikes increase the daily Ukrainian losses - currently averaging between 700 and 800 KIA per day - by at least thirty percent. If those losses average 7 or more Ukrainians per strike, that would increase the total by 100 percent.
When you add wounded to the KIAs reported at a ratio of 1.67, Ukraine is losing between 2,000 and 3,000 troops per day or 60-100,000 per month.
Thanks for that Richard. See my comments on your substack. I'm pretty sure that the Russian MoD has employed the term 'killed and wounded' on its website occasionally BTW.
Re: "organisations providing casualty data do not always make it clear whether their figures are for dead and wounded or KIA only. The Russian MoD and Mediazona are both guilty of this. "
Andrei Martyanov makes it clear that when the Russian MoD talks about Ukrainian "losses" in any form, they mean KIA unless explicitly said otherwise. The MoD does not report Ukrainian wounded.
More importantly, they don't report Ukrainian losses from engagements in which there was no "battle damage assessment" post-engagement - which means those over 100 "in addition" air, missile and artillery strikes they always mention separately in their daily "clobber report".
This is important because those strikes HAVE to add at LEAST one more Ukrainian KIA and one more WIA to the daily total - and probably many more. If one Ukrainian artillery unit is destroyed, that's at least four Ukrainians lost (KIA and WIA). If a command post is destroyed, it's probably many more. So those strikes increase the daily Ukrainian losses - currently averaging between 700 and 800 KIA per day - by at least thirty percent. If those losses average 7 or more Ukrainians per strike, that would increase the total by 100 percent.
When you add wounded to the KIAs reported at a ratio of 1.67, Ukraine is losing between 2,000 and 3,000 troops per day or 60-100,000 per month.
Thank you.